InveDeckEARNINGS · SMCI

EARNINGS REVIEW

Delivery timing creates a gap between orders and revenue

FY26 Q1 · 2025-09-30Release date 2025-11-04B$ · USD billions

Historical earnings report · Management guidance reflects expectations at the time of the release, not subsequent outcomes. The financial comparison uses the site’s normalized dataset, including comparative figures restated in later filings.

Revenue fell 15.5% year on year. Management cited large orders arriving late in September, configuration changes and customer data-center readiness delaying shipments. Demand loss and timing delays are different, but management commentary alone cannot guarantee future conversion.

Revenue
5.018 B$
Operating income
0.182 B$
FCF · common-basis calculation
−0.950 B$

Assessment · Neither a demand collapse nor an entirely temporary delay is established. The next quarter must demonstrate conversion into sales, inventory cash recovery and margin improvement together.

01 Drivers by business

Revenue fell 15.5% year on year. Management cited large orders arriving late in September, configuration changes and customer data-center readiness delaying shipments. Demand loss and timing delays are different, but management commentary alone cannot guarantee future conversion.

Evidence · 1 ↗ · 2 ↗

02 Margins and earnings quality

Gross margin fell to 9.3% from 13.1%. Management cited competitive pricing, product and customer mix and higher manufacturing costs. A larger order book does not automatically imply stronger pricing power or higher margins.

Evidence · 1 ↗ · 2 ↗

03 Cash conversion and funding

Quarterly OCF was $-0.918 billion, cash CapEx $0.032 billion and analytical OCF-minus-CapEx $-0.950 billion. Cumulative flows with the same fiscal-year start are subtracted; acquisition payments are excluded from CapEx.

Company-defined FCF was not verified and is left blank. OCF minus PP&E purchases is provided only as analytical FCF. Cash and cash equivalents and total liabilities are not interchangeable with debt or net cash.

Evidence · 1 ↗

04 RPO versus order backlog

Filed RPO was $1.028 billion. Obligations under contracts with an original term of one year or less are excluded, so this is not total server backlog. RPO growth alone cannot determine future consolidated revenue growth.

Evidence · 1 ↗

05 Guidance at the announcement date

At November 4, guidance was $10–11 billion of next-quarter revenue and at least $36 billion for FY26. Conversion into shipments was a key assumption; these forecasts are not presented as actual sales.

Evidence · 1 ↗

06 Investment checkpoints

Neither a demand collapse nor an entirely temporary delay is established. The next quarter must demonstrate conversion into sales, inventory cash recovery and margin improvement together.

Evidence · 1 ↗ · 2 ↗

Quarterly results · CY-aligned view

Metric · B$2024 full-year total1Q
FY24 Q3
2024-03-31
2Q
FY24 Q4
2024-06-30
3Q
FY25 Q1
2024-09-30
4Q
FY25 Q2
2024-12-31
2025 total of 3 included quarters1Q
FY25 Q3
2025-03-31
2Q
FY25 Q4
2025-06-30
3Q
FY26 Q1
2025-09-30
QoQ ΔYoY Δ
Revenue20.8203.8505.3555.9375.67815.3754.6005.7575.018−0.739−0.919
Operating income1.5450.3780.2880.5090.3690.5570.1470.2280.182−0.046−0.327
Operating margin (%)7.4199.8265.3888.5766.4923.6263.1913.9673.632−0.335 pp−4.944 pp
Net income1.4450.4020.2970.4240.3210.4720.1090.1950.168−0.027−0.256
FCF · company definition———————————
Operating cash flow · total−1.992−1.514−0.6480.409−0.2400.5730.6270.864−0.918−1.781−1.326
Net cash CapEx · common0.1790.0930.0140.0440.0280.0880.0330.0230.0320.010−0.012
Cash CapEx · Chinese company definition———————————
FCF · total calculation−2.171−1.606−0.6620.365−0.2670.4850.5940.841−0.950−1.791−1.314
Net cash · liquid assets less borrowings−0.4740.255−0.501−0.165−0.474−0.5650.0470.418−0.565−0.983−0.400
Liquid assets · including short-term investments1.4352.1181.6732.0941.4354.2112.5405.1764.211−0.9652.117
Borrowings · interest-bearing debt1.9091.8632.1742.2591.9094.7762.4924.7584.7760.0182.517
Cash and cash equivalents1.4302.1151.6702.0891.4304.1972.5365.1704.197−0.9732.108
Total liabilities · accounting liabilities3.4903.7694.4094.9743.4907.8624.3597.7177.8620.1462.888

CY denotes the calendar quarter with the greatest overlap with the fiscal period. If the first period has no start date, 89 days before its end is used only for calendar mapping. Financial values are not recalculated into calendar quarters. Incomplete years show totals of included quarters; cash, liabilities, borrowings and net cash use the last period-end balance. QoQ and YoY show absolute changes; margin changes are percentage points. Dashes indicate missing evidence or incomparable periods or definitions. Total liabilities never substitute for borrowings.

Definitions and evidence coverage

A dash means unavailable or undisclosed, not zero. Company-defined FCF may differ from total operating cash flow less common-basis CapEx. Total liabilities are accounting liabilities, not interest-bearing debt.

Tables use SEC-filed comparative values verified through 2026-10-17. Guidance retains the original announcement date; later outcomes are not backdated into past forecasts. This report does not claim a complete conference-call Q&A review.

Official source documents

  1. Official earnings release ↗
  2. SEC filed financial statements / MD&A ↗
  3. Financial filing · 2024-03-31 ↗
  4. Financial filing · 2024-03-31 ↗
  5. Financial filing · 2024-03-31 ↗
  6. Financial filing · 2024-06-30 ↗
  7. Financial filing · 2024-06-30 ↗
  8. Financial filing · 2024-09-30 ↗
  9. Financial filing · 2024-12-31 ↗
  10. Financial filing · 2025-03-31 ↗
  11. Financial filing / balance sheet ↗